India’s rupee has barely budged this year, even as Singapore, Korea, and Taiwan saw their currencies surge 6–9.5% in the same period. The key game-changer? A weak dollar, but India’s structural issue holds the rupee back.
- India’s Net International Investment Position (NIIP) is deeply negative (~ –$350 b), weighing on the rupee
- In contrast, Asian peers hold positive NIIPs, allowing them to benefit from hedging and asset repatriation
- Analysts from Barclays, Jefferies, and ANZ call this a long-term structural lag, not a crisis
- The dollar’s weakness mainly boosts countries with currency surpluses, not India
👉 Why these matters: A flat rupee means higher costs for imports—fuel, electronics, oil—and limited relief for consumers.
Trusted source: Reuters reuters.com+15reuters.com+15reuters.com+15
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